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To reverse a years of deteriorating overall aspect efficiency, regional labour market policy is moving from easy task development to managing active workforce shifts. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as companies integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are intensifying their focus on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil profits structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and method partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the priority is enhancing economic durability through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI release, managed workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented worldwide environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resistant domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Although oil revenues will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including eased foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote additional investment. The financial deficit is projected to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil rates, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain key development drivers, supported by population growth and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is expected to get again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in facilities, innovation and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has can be found in building varied, resistant and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological change, though that acceleration is real, but rather a fundamental shift in how business develop of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with global business outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most significant strategic recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 conferences between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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