Evaluating Legacy Systems and Future Business Frameworks thumbnail

Evaluating Legacy Systems and Future Business Frameworks

Published Aug 19, 26
3 min read


Instead of marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is increasingly viewed as a debt consolidation year, in which diversification-led development becomes more deeply ingrained in the region's economic model, reducing dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing durability to external shocks. Forecasts from major institutions broadly converge on a more powerful GCC development profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by durable domestic demand, continued non-oil expansion, and (to differing degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


The World Bank, on the other hand, tasks 3.2 percent growth in 2025, speeding up to 4.5 percent in 2026. The IMF Sees momentum improving, with GCC output development projected to increase from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift toward more favorable total conditions.

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The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) tasks international growth reducing to 3.1 percent in 2026, with advanced economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and developing economies just above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would position the area materially ahead of the world average and a little above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, reinforcing the GCC's status as a relatively high-growth pocketprovided that regional danger conditions stay consisted of and reform momentum holds.

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Data from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors already account for more than 73 percent of overall GDP, a share that has continued to rise as governments broaden investment in services, infrastructure, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is projected to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.

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Public-sector financial investment and reform remain main to sustaining this trend. Policy measures focused on attracting foreign direct financial investment, reducing foreign ownership guidelines, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector involvement continue to underpin non-oil growth and lower the area's exposure to oil cost volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the growth outlook, oil profits are anticipated to play an encouraging function in 2026.

Oxford Economics anticipates Brent crude costs to fall below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, limiting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Nevertheless, oil supply is anticipated to increase again in the second half of the year, with a full loosening up of staying production caps likely by mid-2027.

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Macroeconomic conditions across the GCC remain broadly helpful of growth. Inflation is anticipated to stay low, with the IMF forecasting average inflation of 2 percent throughout the region in 2026. Stable prices are helping preserve real household earnings and underpin customer costs, which Oxford Economics expects to grow by an average of 3.5 percent over 20262027.

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