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How to Secure a Competitive Advantage in 2026

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Business news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Financial growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region projected to outshine its 2025 performance regardless of soft oil revenues and ongoing global unpredictabilities. According to a new Oxford Economics research study briefing, GCC GDP development is expected to rise to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, showing a resistant nonenergy sector, strong customer characteristics, and slowly improving oil output.

But the most current forecasts recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to gain back momentum, buoyed by strengthening domestic demand and a broadly stable global backdrop. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant driver of the region's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine disposable incomes are expected to fuel a surge in customer costs across the Gulf.

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Credit growth is also forecast to stay elevated as access to financial services broadens. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow awaited United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are likely to decrease, offering families and businesses even more impetus to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a mixed image.

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This might weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more based on oil extraction. Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as stocks tighten and international demand improves. Qatar, on the other hand, stands out as a local outperformer, with considerable expansions in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its general financial efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan anticipates a 6 per cent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom aims to narrow its fiscal deficit by 2 portion points. The report notes that these cuts might not materialise fully if countercyclical spending procedures are activated to support growth. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their advancement agendas.

Regardless of shortterm threats connected to oil rates and worldwide need, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is defined by strength in basics: durable customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil characteristics, and strategic financial planning. With these aspects aligning, the area is getting ready for among its most balanced periods of growth in the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are anticipated to remain resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly consistent international economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC area is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the projected 4 percent this year.

We anticipate GCC growth will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that financial growth in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's ongoing development towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are expected to surpass their global peers.

In December, the IMF even more stated that headline inflation is anticipated to stay listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is anticipated to stay raised in the GCC area throughout 2026, as access to financial services is anticipated to grow and loaning is projected to be supported by further cuts in rates of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC reserve banks are anticipated to follow the US Federal Reserve by relieving financial policy even more, which in turn will lower debt servicing expenses and enhance non reusable earnings and need," stated the report.