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To reverse a years of damaging overall factor performance, local labour market policy is moving from simple job creation to managing active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the priority is enhancing economic resilience through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, effective AI implementation, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic demand and restored financial investment momentum, according to the latest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most international regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of eased foreign ownership rules that aim to stimulate more investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and financial services stay essential growth drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get again in the second half of 2026, matching ongoing investment in infrastructure, technology and global trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure varied, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Seven Steps to Establishing Your Brand Name in Emerging Saudi CitiesScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economic Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversity efforts.
Seven Steps to Establishing Your Brand Name in Emerging Saudi CitiesWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, however rather a basic shift in how enterprises conceive of their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive change.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global company outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most significant strategic recalibration in the GCC model's evolution.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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